Factors to Watch Across African Markets – August 3, 2026

Nairobi – Investors across African financial markets will begin the week monitoring global developments after easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East weighed on oil prices and influenced broader market sentiment.

Global Markets

Global equities traded cautiously on Monday while oil prices fell sharply as optimism grew over a possible diplomatic breakthrough between the United States and Iran. The Japanese yen also strengthened after Washington and Tokyo confirmed coordinated intervention to support the currency.

Wold Oil Prices

Crude oil prices dropped by about $4 per barrel after U.S. President Donald Trump delayed any fresh military action against Iran, instead pursuing negotiations aimed at curbing Tehran's nuclear programme and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Lower oil prices could ease inflationary pressures for many African oil-importing economies while weighing on revenues for major crude exporters.

Africa Stocks

Investors will keep a close watch on trading across African bourses as global risk sentiment and commodity price movements continue to influence regional equity markets.

South Africa Markets

South Africa's rand weakened at the close of last week despite stronger-than-expected trade surplus data, as investors remained cautious amid shifting global market sentiment and currency movements.

Uganda Coffee

Uganda reported a 39% year-on-year decline in the value of coffee exports in June, reflecting weaker international coffee prices despite the country's strong export volumes.

Kenya Inflation

Kenya's annual inflation accelerated to 6.5% in July, according to official data released on Friday, highlighting persistent price pressures in East Africa's largest economy.

Markets To Watch

Global equity market performance

Crude oil price movements

African stock exchanges

South African rand

Commodity prices, particularly coffee

Inflation developments in Kenya

Source: Reuters